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US has a third world electric grid | 27 comments (27 topical, editorial)
Re: US has a third world electric grid (3.00 / 0) (#22)
by scottsAI (user name at eml dot cc) on Sun Aug 31st, 2008 at 01:21:16 PM MST
(User Info)

DamonHD,
Sorry if I painted the wrong picture.
Yes, Outside of US in Europe particularly has the longest power line etc. several of them.
They also have many smaller power plants, then USA...
Power transmission loses are estimated at 7-10% (found different numbers around)
By moving the loads closer to the source improves efficiency.
Not by building bigger transmission lines.
We are talking about change, either in manufacturing location or grid improvement or where power is produced.

Homes and vehicles consume 70% of the energy used in the USA.
Homes use 2/3 of the energy. Agreed? Vehicles 1/3 (wonder why all the focus on cars?)
Yes many homes in cities, more are not.
I believe the power used by homes should be addressed before doing anything else, especially since a small investment can make a drastic reduction in power use!

IF I was offered the same deals as the government sponsored grid improvements I could go off grid. Not only off grid Off everything! No gas, nothing. Net zero energy home and vehicle.

Looking at the numbers, solar is available up to 20% efficiency. (32% with mirrors)
I use 30kwHr/day. 10 ft x 30 ft solar panel should supply everything I need.
Replacing appliances could drop it down to 8-10kwhr/day easily. Or 10 ft x 10 ft panel.
Converting to EV, what do I need? http://avt.inel.gov/pdf/fsev/costs.pdf
Suggest 3 to 6 miles per KwHr. Interesting. Lets use 4 mi/Kwhr.
GM posted the average ride to work is 40 miles round trip. Or 10kwHr/day.
Doubling the solar panel to 10 ft x 20 ft total!
Hot water 4 ft x 8 ft supplies 60-90%
How much for heating? Assuming 60% efficiency (too high?)
My 92% 76KBTU/hr furnace runs 4-6 hr many winter days, once 23.5 hr when -23F.
Heat per day" 6 x 72KBTU = 432KBTU
Solar heat per day 1,000BTU/ft2 or need 432 ft2 solar heat collector = 20 ft x 21 ft
My house or Roof is bigger than the above needs of 664 ft. Not many smaller?
Edit: Oops forgot collectors efficiency, got to go, consulting work to do.

Back up energy is required, could be grid or gas of some kind.
Even in cities homes are plenty large enough. Apartment building may have a problem, then most have large parking areas to offer for the energy production.

My numbers are based on my homes needs here in Michigan. Will change based on location.

Manufacturer have their own special needs, most have huge parking areas outside of making cement they may be able to locally produce their own power. Co-generation works.

I do not see much use for a grid, let along spending trillions fixing the current one.
Thanks for your comments!

Have fun,
Scott.

[ Parent ]



Re: US has a third world electric grid (3.00 / 0) (#23)
by DamonHD (d@hd.org) on Sun Aug 31st, 2008 at 01:30:55 PM MST
(User Info) http://www.earth.org.uk/

Hi,

Don't get me wrong, I'm in favour of distributed generation (and hope to go electricity-neutral at home within months), but for the UK at least RE generation still seems to look better done at a macro level with a supporting grid, eg see:

http://zerocarbonista.com/2008/07/21/micro-generation-the-emperor-new-clothes/

The Zerocarbonista man (Dale Vince) runs a pure-wind 'green' UK supplier, and I happen to be a customer.

As to domestic vs other consumption of electricity, see in the 'Links' section of my draft doc http://www.earth.org.uk/note-on-dynamic-demand-value.html


"DUKES": Digest of UK Energy Statistics notes amongst many other things that: in 2006, domestic electricity consumption was 29% of all UK demand of 406TWh (ie about 116TWh), of which only about 33% was on Ecomony 7 or another off-peak/grid-friendly tariff. Mean domestic electricity power demand was thus ~13GW, most of it potentially not 'off-peak'.

DUKES is the UK gov's official exec summary, as it were.

Rgds

Damon


[ Parent ]



Re: US has a third world electric grid (3.00 / 0) (#26)
by scottsAI (user name at eml dot cc) on Mon Sep 1st, 2008 at 01:20:27 AM MST
(User Info)

DamonHD,

The cost analysis of solar vs wind vs nuclear are messed up when you add the cost of a New grid to make use of it.

Next Town over is putting in 20 miles new transmission lines, cost estimated at $15 millions. These are not even big lines. Going with larger lines must cost more? Still working on right of ways two years.
The lines are going into GM test facility, employees 4,000 people. The lines are a third redundant power feed. Three years ago they lost power for a day and still pissed about it.

Macro power generation looks good cost wise until adding in the upgrade cost necessary to the transmission grid. Part of the system cost. Micro generation starts looking more attractive.
Loosing 10% to transmission changes the equations.

Recently a company started production of a $1/w solar cell, first 18 months sold out.
If solar panels were produced in volume to be put on homes... how would the economics change?

Prior post was using the numbers for total energy. Home energy can be used in many forms.
Newest generation heat pumps are looking attractive even for Michigan!

The final comment of micro vs macro.
Micro has a fixed cost over a period of time. Mostly up front, little after.
Macro power will forever have to new bill to pay!!! Always going UP!
Which fits in your wallet?

Having fun,
Scott.


[ Parent ]



Re: US has a third world electric grid (3.00 / 0) (#27)
by DamonHD (d@hd.org) on Mon Sep 1st, 2008 at 02:17:29 AM MST
(User Info) http://www.earth.org.uk/

Hi,
  1. A lot of 'macro' can be installed in smaller blocks near to consumption centres retaining the cost savings from scale but often significantly reducing (maybe halving according to Ecotricity) the transmission costs.  Clearly that doesn't help where the RE resource is nowhere near, but that's not always going to be the case.
  2. By my estimation most of the cost of domestic PV microgen is the installation cost of having skilled workers mucking around on your property, not breaking things and meeting building codes.  Even if the PV was free it would still be more expensive than macro PV or wind if I'm right.  Hasn't stopped me putting lots of PV on my house, with more to come I hope, but if you're a government with a fixed $Xm to spend, where should the bulk of it go for the greatest concrete effect?
  3. Macro and micro both require amortised maintenance.  I can't find Dale's numbers right now, but I think that a 2MWp turbine might cost £2m to install (£1/Wp) and cost ~£10k/year in maintenance, ie much less than 1% of capital cost per year, over a 20+ year life.  I may have those figures wrong, but note that you'd do well to have microgen running for 20 years with maintenance cost/time less than 1% of install costs if you include your own time at a fair rate cleaning panels, checking meters, or whatever.  I can't see a real difference in cost profile here.
Rgds

Damon

[ Parent ]



US has a third world electric grid | 27 comments (27 topical, 0 editorial)

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