Mark:
I see that you are one of those that have "decided" that tubes is the only way for audio work. !!
I have designed 0.5 to 3 KW audio power amplifiers, linear, PWM and R.F ( 2 Mhz) types.
Now that I know that you are not a "hollow semiconductor" I would like to ask if it is possible to place a pipe in the stream for some good distance to "collect" all the head possible, including the 20 Inches you talk about.
You have something but you need to qualify what you have !!!
Stream head is the drop of the stream in your "territory".
You need to measure the water velocity.
Also, what type of water volume can you identify ?.
A wheel there I see it as a very low power set up and somewhat impractical, prop turbine fed by a pipe as I indicated before may be the solution that may even work in winter if the water under the ice does not freeze.
There is a guy in Canada that does that, close to the Pacific coast, in winter he was getting 2 KW, about 3 years ago, last time he contacted me asking for some additional assistance to improve the system.
Nando