Hi Derek,
If you are getting 188 BTU/hour from the 8X8 panel, that would be (144 in^2/64 in^2)(188 BTU/hr) = 423 BTU/sqft-hr -- as I think someone pointed out, this is more than the total solar input by quite a bit. So, unless you have an over 100% efficient collector, there must be an glitch in the calcs somewhere.
I'm guessing that the 88 ft/min might be the source of the problem. The flow velocity through a collector depends on flow resistance, vertical height of the collector, how well the absorber absorbs, how well it transfers heat to the air, how much heat you lose out the glazing, ... There are just too many variables to allow accurate calculation -- you need to measure it.
There are some cheap ways to do this here:
http://www.builditsolar.com/References/Measurements/measurments.htm#Airflow
If you can get the outlet airflow to go horizontal, the little $25 Dwyer gage works really well for thermosyphon collectors. The Kestrel meter is also good, but costs more -- its the one I use most of the time -- but, it will not read realiably below about 80fpm.
The method I use to make a guess at collector efficiency is here:
http://www.builditsolar.com/References/Measurements/CollectorPerformance.htm
Its not by any means perfect, but it gives a pretty good idea how well a collector is doing. The comments about temperature rise through the collector might also be worth looking at -- a large temperature rise usually means an inefficient collector, because it goes with large collector losses out the glazing.
This is small deal, but the specific heat of air is 0.24 (not 0.267).
But, the basic point I was trying to make is that even if your collector was 80 or 90% efficient (very, very, very hard to achieve in winter conditions), you still need to have a fairly large amount of collector area to generate useful amounts of heat for space heating. This is not so bad, since air collectors are cheap to build, and you can make them big without a lot of expense. Here is one from Mother Earth News that was built of 10 cents a sqft!!
http://www.builditsolar.com/Projects/SpaceHeating/Space_Heating.htm#Passive
(look for "Very Inexpensive Solar Shop Heater")
Gary