jlsoaz,
You've made me notice something that I didn't think of when making by bet. I'm not sure I can trace back the same statistics that I used during my research before placing the bet. And even if I can (I know I used Wikipedia for some of it) there's no guarantee that the page will still contain the same information 20 years later, or have info using the same basis. All sorts of things could change.
I can confirm that I really meant "passenger automobiles".
I was also not considering motorcycles or 3-wheelers either.
The stats I consulted did not distinguish between hybrid or pure EV's, then.
Maybe in a decade or so, if they're popular enough, we make a distinction in the statistics (any sufficiently large group will be sub-divided by a statistician; it's a law).
But the stats didn't start out that way.
That should help pin down the winning criteria when 2037 comes to an end.
Some food for thought:
https://arstechnica.com/cars/2022/06/the-driving-enthusiasts-dilemma-about-electric-cars/Today there is a used 2019 Nissan Leaf on a used-car dealer's lot nearby for 37k CAD (28k USD). Which is ridiculous because that's the NEW price.
I've heard that used auto prices are excessively high these days, including EV's because of long delivery times from the factories.
May be great for some used EV owners who are willing to sell. But if they can't buy a new EV, that means they are going BACK to a ICE vehicle.
<sound of forehead slapping>