Yes the idea is that the tail keeps it into the wind and the thrust of the prop and the offset tries to make it turn away from the wind.
For a disc or high solidity rotor this simple concept works fine, but with a rotor working with lift and a reasonable tsr things are not so simple.
If this seeking effect didn't occur, you could make the offset very small and a small tail vane would keep it into the wind. There is a limit to how small you can make the offset and it is generally about 4% of the rotor diameter. If you make it less then it may or may not furl and the type of blades determine how small you can make the offset and still get it to work.
With small offsets and the right conditions it will face the wind without a tail for quite long periods.It is not a stable condition and it may suddenly pull out of the wind but with the tail helping it, it is possible to have a situation where the thing will completely fail to furl. The tail will run at an angle to the wind but you will not have true furling and the power may not reduce to protect things.
Sometimes down wind turbines get caught out and will run up wind for considerable periods, something that would seem impossible.
This seeking force is enough to mess up any calculations on the tail weight even when you have the minimum offset.
In general the larger the offset the better it follows simple theory but the big offset needs a big tail and even then the tail may need to be set beyond straight by 20 or 30 deg to keep the prop directly into the wind below furling.
Flux